college-basketball-elo

NCAAM ELO Game Predictions for 2025-04-07 - @grdavis

Below are predictions for today's Men's college basketball games using an ELO rating methodology. Check out the full college-basketball-elo repository on github to see methodology and more.

Note: Teams with * or those written as abbreviations (e.g. BREC) are likely new to the model (i.e. they haven't played any/many D1 games) and predictions are more uncertain.

Neutral Away Away Win Prob. Away Pred. Spread Live Away Spread Home Home Win Prob. Home Pred. Spread
1 Florida 47% 0.7 -1 Houston 53% -0.7

Top 50 Teams by ELO Rating

Team Elo Rating 7 Day Change
1 Houston 2167 +12
2 Florida 2149 +14
3 Duke 2117 -12
4 Auburn 2065 -14
5 Michigan State 2032 +0
6 Alabama 2018 +0
7 St. John's (NY) 2012 +0
8 Tennessee 2007 +0
9 Maryland 1981 +0
10 Texas Tech 1978 +0
11 Gonzaga 1953 +0
12 Arizona 1953 +0
13 UConn 1933 +0
14 BYU 1932 +0
15 Wisconsin 1928 +0
16 Colorado State 1922 +0
17 Michigan 1914 +0
18 Saint Mary's 1904 +0
19 Creighton 1900 +0
20 Iowa State 1895 +0
21 Oregon 1890 +0
22 Purdue 1888 +0
23 Illinois 1881 +0
24 New Mexico 1878 +0
25 Louisville 1877 +0
26 Kentucky 1876 +0
27 Ole Miss 1875 +0
28 UCLA 1865 +0
29 Texas A&M 1862 +0
30 VCU 1862 +0
31 Drake 1857 +0
32 Arkansas 1856 +0
33 UNC 1851 +0
34 UC-San Diego 1849 +0
35 Clemson 1848 +0
36 Marquette 1844 +0
37 Memphis 1841 +0
38 Baylor 1839 +0
39 Xavier 1838 +0
40 Kansas 1820 +0
41 Boise State 1815 -8
42 Missouri 1810 +0
43 Georgia 1793 +0
44 Oklahoma 1791 +0
45 Indiana 1790 +0
46 Northwestern 1788 +0
47 Nebraska 1788 +89
48 Villanova 1782 +9
49 Chattanooga 1779 +27
50 Mississippi State 1778 +0